CORRECTED
Juno was a great movie but doesn't match up to epic soon-to-be classics No Country for Old Men and There Will Be Blood.
Fix'd.
If neither of those two win, then there will--
I just can't say it.
And to make the effort of staying on topic. I believe eventually one of Shinkai's film will probably win. (Despite of the typical simplistic and underdeveloped Shinkai stories).
Uh, alright,
5 Cm. Per Sec. is a disappointment, but what's wrong with
Voices of a Distant Star and
The Placed Promised in Our Early Days (i.e. a romantics and less well-built version of
The Wings of Honneamise)?
Really? Not just coming from someone who loved the movie, but I really think Juno have a greater chance of winning than No Country For an Old Man.
Dude, no way. The media and panels have gone to favoring darker and more brutal (along the lines of
Treasure of the Sierra Madre,
Apocalypse Now,
Wages of Fear, etc.) films in recent years.
Anyhow, it depends on when the film came out.
Jin-Roh WOULD HAVE been nominated, but was inelligible because it was distributed two years after it came out (1999). (****ing rules.)
Paprika had the closest shot in recent memory, but not even Kon's growing respect could pull through. (That, and Sony didn't promote it as much as they could have.)
I'd like to say
The Girl Who Leapt Through Time -- which is the time of film that I could see going over very, very well for American audiences -- except I think it might be subjected to the two year ******** that
Jin-Roh went through.