Chimchar was the most popular starter in gen 4.We've literally only seen five episodes of XY and while Froakie seems a bit more serious than Ash's other Water-types, I don't think it's enough to say that he'll "definitely fully evolve." I mean people completely ignore the fact that his appeal also comes at the price of being popular and marketable and if kids grow to like Froakie more than his evolved forms, I'm betting that he won't evolve at all.
I don't think it's funny that Ash's main Water-types don't evolve, but I do find it irritating that the people who invented this "curse" thing constantly attack the writers and make them out to be the enemies, and yet at the same time believe that the "curse" can be broken after 15+ years just because of Froakie. That's giving Froakie way too much credit.
I thought people were all for mijumaru evolving in The first 5 episodes of BW. Then it never happened. For all we know froakie will turn out the same. And I for one can never see it becoming a greninja and losing the sticky foam attack.
Ash also got all 3 starters in unova, now he will only have one. Plus I don't think pignite was nearly as marketable as tepig, yet it evolved.
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