Cerulean21
Time Traveller
I agree to what I've read on this thread so far. We don't know it for cetrain though but hell, what do we know for certain? As for about 200 years ago we were certain that the atom is the smallest particle there is and then it was split up and that whole crap came out of it. It's very unlikely (not impossible though) that Earth is the only planet that hosts living creatures.
You also have to, however, discuss how you define life as such. There are organisms on this planet (a species of bacteria called escherichia) that does not "breathe" oxygen but Sulfur. If you abandon the idea of "life how we know it" then the chances of other life existing out there increases even more. There may even be creatures that can live in temperatures of about 4 K, which seems impossible to us but that doesn't mean that it is.
There's another thing that could make a big significence: conscioussness. There may be things out there who do not "live" in the way the term "living" is defiened but may be consciouss as well as we don't know if cells and bacteria are consciouss whist we can't deny that they're alive.
By the way, the formula of how many planets there are that contain "human" life (only for our Galaxy, the milky way):
N = Rs * fp * np * fl * fi * Lz
Rs being the rate of stars built in our galaxy, fp is the percentage of stars with a planet system as the sun and np the percentage of those planets who can be inhabited. fl is the part of those planets who actually are inhabited, fi is the percentage of those affromentioned who contain intelligent life and Lz is the time period in which such a form of life can exist.
We guess that the milky way galaxy consists out of 4*10^11 Stars and the rate of stars built a year 10 this means that Rs = 10 stars/year. Now let's make it theorethical:
Let's say, 1% of the stars have a planet system (fp = 0.01) of which another 1% has a planet that could host life (np = 0.01). If we assume that all those planets do indeed contain life then fl = 1. Now we assume that the evolution of intelligent life has taken 4.5 billion years on the Earth (ever since it appeared) and further assume that 0.01% of those "lives" have developed intelligence making fi = 0.0001. So this results in:
N= 10 * 0.01 * 0.01 * 1 * 0.0001 * Lz = 0.00000001 * Lz
Now we have to guess a time period for developing intelligent civilisations, so we take about 2 billion years assuming that 2.5 billion years after the "creation" of the Earth that showed up, which means Lz=2500000000 which results in
N = 250
To bring it down to a point: 250 out of 400.000.000.000 stars in this galaxy have a planet with creatures on it, that could have made that very same calculation just now.
This means the odds for planets containing life are much bigger than that, especially if you consider that there are several million galaxies in our universe and nobody knows how many universes there are
You also have to, however, discuss how you define life as such. There are organisms on this planet (a species of bacteria called escherichia) that does not "breathe" oxygen but Sulfur. If you abandon the idea of "life how we know it" then the chances of other life existing out there increases even more. There may even be creatures that can live in temperatures of about 4 K, which seems impossible to us but that doesn't mean that it is.
There's another thing that could make a big significence: conscioussness. There may be things out there who do not "live" in the way the term "living" is defiened but may be consciouss as well as we don't know if cells and bacteria are consciouss whist we can't deny that they're alive.
By the way, the formula of how many planets there are that contain "human" life (only for our Galaxy, the milky way):
N = Rs * fp * np * fl * fi * Lz
Rs being the rate of stars built in our galaxy, fp is the percentage of stars with a planet system as the sun and np the percentage of those planets who can be inhabited. fl is the part of those planets who actually are inhabited, fi is the percentage of those affromentioned who contain intelligent life and Lz is the time period in which such a form of life can exist.
We guess that the milky way galaxy consists out of 4*10^11 Stars and the rate of stars built a year 10 this means that Rs = 10 stars/year. Now let's make it theorethical:
Let's say, 1% of the stars have a planet system (fp = 0.01) of which another 1% has a planet that could host life (np = 0.01). If we assume that all those planets do indeed contain life then fl = 1. Now we assume that the evolution of intelligent life has taken 4.5 billion years on the Earth (ever since it appeared) and further assume that 0.01% of those "lives" have developed intelligence making fi = 0.0001. So this results in:
N= 10 * 0.01 * 0.01 * 1 * 0.0001 * Lz = 0.00000001 * Lz
Now we have to guess a time period for developing intelligent civilisations, so we take about 2 billion years assuming that 2.5 billion years after the "creation" of the Earth that showed up, which means Lz=2500000000 which results in
N = 250
To bring it down to a point: 250 out of 400.000.000.000 stars in this galaxy have a planet with creatures on it, that could have made that very same calculation just now.
This means the odds for planets containing life are much bigger than that, especially if you consider that there are several million galaxies in our universe and nobody knows how many universes there are
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