celestial phantom
Well-Known Member
I was gonna post the long list of possibilities that would let a bunch of teams get into the playoffs next week, but decided to wait until the end of last night's games, good thing too b/c the Broncos had a really interesting way to get in over the Dolphins (Beat KC, Beat Raiders, Miami loses to NE, and KC beats SD). However, the entire AFC playoff picture is locked up just the final seedings have yet to be determined.
AFC Seedings needs:
- If NE wins over Miami they get the #1 seed.
- If Oakland beats Denver and NE loses to Miami they get the #1 seed. If Oakland loses to Denver they need KC to lose to SD to keep the #2 seed, otherwise if they lose and KC wins they fall to the #5 seed.
- Pittsburgh and Houston are locked into the #3 and #4 seeds respectively, no outcome changes their placement.
- If Miami can win and KC loses, Miami can move up to the #5 seed which places them against the Texans.
- KC wins + Oakland loses, KC gets the #2 seed.
NFC Playoff Scenarios:
- Dallas has the #1 seed locked.
- The NY Giants as far as I understand it have the #5 locked up even if Detroit wins tonight, but loses next week. Unless there's some SoS there that I'm overlooking a bit (b/c I don't want to calc out all the possible scenarios of opponents winning or losing that might be able to surge one over the other.
- If Atlanta wins they get the #2 seed.
- If Detroit wins tonight, and wins against GB next week they get the #3 seed, but if Atlanta loses as well they jump up to the #2 seed.
- If Seattle wins and both Atlanta and Detroit lose they get the #2 seed. If Seattle wins + just Atlanta loses but Detroit wins both, the jump to the #3 seed, or if Seattle wins + Detroit wins/loses one each or GB wins the division they are the #3 seed.
- If Detroit wins tonight but loses next week, they will finish with the #6 seed at worst. If they lose tonight, but win next week they will clinch the division at least and pending Atlanta and Seattle wins can still get the #2 seed at best or will finish with the #4 seed if both of those teams win.
- If GB wins next week, they win the division taking the #4 seed. If Washington loses next week, GB gets in as the #6 seed from the look of it at worst.
Here's where it starts getting good for the two teams on the outside looking in:
- If Detroit wins the division and the Washington Redskins beat the NY Giants, Washington takes the #6 seed.
- If GB wins the division, as long as the Redskins win against NYG and Detroit loses tonight against Dallas, Washington gets in as the #6 seed I believe.
- Tampa Bay apparently has some shot of being in the hunt still, but I have no idea what they need to have happen to beat out the Lions or Packers in a SoS tiebreaker outside needing for sure to have the Redskins lose to NYG. I honestly can't find a scenario in the ESPN Playoff machine that will put TB over the Lions or Packers despite trying a fair amount of different combinations of wins by a lot of different teams that they played. So, honestly I have no idea how the Bucs can get the #6 seed. But, apparently according to NFL.com they are still in the playoff hunt.
Edit: Found out how TB can get in the playoffs: Cowboys beat the Lions, TB beats Carolina, Colts beat Jags, Titans beat Houston (which without Mariota is unlikely), 49ers to beat Seattle (LOL), Cowboys to beat Eagles, Lions beat the Packers, and NYG and Redskins have to tie. It was that NYG/Redskins tie that threw me off. TB is so astronomically little to be alive for the playoffs that there's no way all this happens.
I think there's some more changes that can be made on seeding based on certain wins or losses, but I believe this is the most common ground in a nutshell on what can happen in general without a long list of certain teams winning/losing matches.
AFC Seedings needs:
- If NE wins over Miami they get the #1 seed.
- If Oakland beats Denver and NE loses to Miami they get the #1 seed. If Oakland loses to Denver they need KC to lose to SD to keep the #2 seed, otherwise if they lose and KC wins they fall to the #5 seed.
- Pittsburgh and Houston are locked into the #3 and #4 seeds respectively, no outcome changes their placement.
- If Miami can win and KC loses, Miami can move up to the #5 seed which places them against the Texans.
- KC wins + Oakland loses, KC gets the #2 seed.
NFC Playoff Scenarios:
- Dallas has the #1 seed locked.
- The NY Giants as far as I understand it have the #5 locked up even if Detroit wins tonight, but loses next week. Unless there's some SoS there that I'm overlooking a bit (b/c I don't want to calc out all the possible scenarios of opponents winning or losing that might be able to surge one over the other.
- If Atlanta wins they get the #2 seed.
- If Detroit wins tonight, and wins against GB next week they get the #3 seed, but if Atlanta loses as well they jump up to the #2 seed.
- If Seattle wins and both Atlanta and Detroit lose they get the #2 seed. If Seattle wins + just Atlanta loses but Detroit wins both, the jump to the #3 seed, or if Seattle wins + Detroit wins/loses one each or GB wins the division they are the #3 seed.
- If Detroit wins tonight but loses next week, they will finish with the #6 seed at worst. If they lose tonight, but win next week they will clinch the division at least and pending Atlanta and Seattle wins can still get the #2 seed at best or will finish with the #4 seed if both of those teams win.
- If GB wins next week, they win the division taking the #4 seed. If Washington loses next week, GB gets in as the #6 seed from the look of it at worst.
Here's where it starts getting good for the two teams on the outside looking in:
- If Detroit wins the division and the Washington Redskins beat the NY Giants, Washington takes the #6 seed.
- If GB wins the division, as long as the Redskins win against NYG and Detroit loses tonight against Dallas, Washington gets in as the #6 seed I believe.
- Tampa Bay apparently has some shot of being in the hunt still, but I have no idea what they need to have happen to beat out the Lions or Packers in a SoS tiebreaker outside needing for sure to have the Redskins lose to NYG. I honestly can't find a scenario in the ESPN Playoff machine that will put TB over the Lions or Packers despite trying a fair amount of different combinations of wins by a lot of different teams that they played. So, honestly I have no idea how the Bucs can get the #6 seed. But, apparently according to NFL.com they are still in the playoff hunt.
Edit: Found out how TB can get in the playoffs: Cowboys beat the Lions, TB beats Carolina, Colts beat Jags, Titans beat Houston (which without Mariota is unlikely), 49ers to beat Seattle (LOL), Cowboys to beat Eagles, Lions beat the Packers, and NYG and Redskins have to tie. It was that NYG/Redskins tie that threw me off. TB is so astronomically little to be alive for the playoffs that there's no way all this happens.
I think there's some more changes that can be made on seeding based on certain wins or losses, but I believe this is the most common ground in a nutshell on what can happen in general without a long list of certain teams winning/losing matches.
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